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Strategy Has Spent $1.6 Billion Pulling Its 12% Preferred Back to Par, and the Buyback Budget Is Nearly Gone

Strategy's STRC preferred closed at $99.90 on Tuesday after $1.6 billion in buybacks since July, but the repurchase budget could run out in two weeks at the current pace.

Written By :MINRK
Strategy Has Spent $1.6 Billion Pulling Its 12% Preferred Back to Par, and the Buyback Budget Is Nearly Gone

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1. What is happening with Strategy's STRC buybacks?

Strategy has spent about $1.6 billion since late July repurchasing its STRC preferred stock, and the security closed at $99.90 on Tuesday, within 10 cents of its $100 design price. The company has not sold new STRC since May, so the question is whether the buyback program can keep running now that the shares are almost back at par.

STRC was created to raise money for bitcoin purchases. It pays 12% a year, and it works as a funding tool only while it trades at or near its $100 stated amount. When it drifts well below that level, the company cannot issue new shares without selling them at a discount, so fundraising stops. That is what happened in the spring, and the buyback effort has been an attempt to repair it.

Under the company's current policy, Strategy will not resume selling new STRC until the price reaches $100. With the stock so close, the program has reached an inflection point: success in lifting the price would, in principle, let the company reopen its main financing channel.

2. How did STRC fall so far below $100?

The preferred's last sale took place in the week of May 11 and raised about $1.95 billion. Four days later, on May 15, STRC slipped below $100, and issuance paused. The security kept sliding over the following weeks and, in late June, closed as low as $74.57, roughly 25% under the level at which it was designed to trade.

The gap matters because a preferred share like STRC is essentially a financing instrument. At or above $100, Strategy can sell new shares, pay dividends twice a month and use the proceeds to buy bitcoin. Below that level, selling shares would mean accepting less than the stated amount for each one while still owing the same 12% annual rate, which makes new issuance uneconomic.

Strategy became the largest corporate holder of bitcoin on the thesis that fiat currencies lose value over time and that investors want leveraged exposure to the asset. It built a series of preferred securities to fund ever larger purchases. STRC was one of them, and a stable price near $100 was central to its role.

3. How has Strategy bought STRC back toward $100?

Strategy began repurchasing STRC in late July and has bought shares every week since. Its second-quarter earnings release described a measured approach: keep buying while the price is under $100, buy more at deeper discounts, and taper activity as the price nears par.

The weekly record follows that description. The first week of buying was cautious, with roughly $25 million spent at an average of about $87 a share. The amounts grew as the price rose. Last week's average purchase price was $99.58, which falls inside the company's stated target range of $99 to $100.

Last week was also the heaviest of the program. Strategy spent $192.4 million on STRC, about nine times what it put into bitcoin in the same week. A tally of the company's weekly regulatory filings shows total repurchases of about $1.6 billion since the buying began.

The size of the weekly outlay has risen even as the discount has narrowed. That seems counterintuitive, since a smaller discount might be expected to call for less buying, but it reflects the same logic as the price recovery: each dollar spent is now moving the stock the last few cents toward par rather than lifting it from the $70s.

4. Is the STRC buyback loop running out of cash?

Not yet, but the board's authorized budget is the nearer constraint. At last week's pace of $192.4 million, the current repurchase authorization would run out in about two weeks. The board can raise the limit, and it did so in September, when it doubled the authorization to $2 billion.

Cash is a longer-term concern. At the same weekly rate, the company's available funds would last a little over three weeks. Strategy has funded most of the buybacks by selling shares of its common stock, MSTR, either directly or from a cash reserve built on earlier sales, and it can sell more.

That points to a loop. The preferred needs support to hold its price, support costs money, and the money largely comes from selling the common stock that sits beneath the preferred in the capital structure. As long as the common shares attract buyers, the loop can continue. If they stop doing so, the funding source for the buybacks would shrink at the same moment the preferred needed it most.

5. Where is the money coming from?

A large share of the proceeds from MSTR stock sales has gone to retiring STRC rather than to buying bitcoin. This summer, Strategy also sold some bitcoin to help finance the repurchases. For a company whose identity rests on accumulating the asset, that is a notable change in how capital is being allocated.

There is a mitigating factor. While MSTR trades above roughly $131, using common stock sales to fund preferred buybacks does not by itself harm common shareholders on a net basis. Even so, the arrangement makes MSTR a less leveraged bet on bitcoin than it was, because less of the capital raised ends up in the digital asset.

The result is that STRC has turned into a security that Strategy spends money to support, instead of one that brings money in. The reversal, from a source of capital to a user of it, is the core of the debate over whether the program is sustainable.

6. How much of STRC's trading is Strategy itself?

Strategy is one of the largest participants in the market for its own preferred stock. According to Keyrock, a crypto market maker, the company's buybacks accounted for roughly 20% to 25% of STRC's weekly trading volume in September.

Keyrock added a qualification: its data cannot show how much demand for STRC would remain if the company's purchases stopped. That is the central unknown. A price of $99.90 shows that the buying has been effective, but it does not show whether independent investors would hold the price near $100 on their own.

For holders, the distinction matters. If a fifth or more of the trading comes from the issuer, the quoted price partly reflects the issuer's own demand, and a withdrawal of that demand could change the picture quickly. A related open question is what obligations Strategy would face toward STRC holders if it stopped buying and the price fell again.

7. What does a 12% dividend say about the risk?

A 12% annual payout is high by the standards of preferred stock, and it signals that investors demand a substantial premium for the combination of bitcoin exposure, the company's leverage and the structure's reliance on a stable price. The dividend is paid twice a month, which adds a steady cost to the company's cash needs.

That obligation is part of why the $100 level matters so much. When the shares trade at par, new issuance can fund dividends and bitcoin purchases together. When they trade lower, the dividend remains a fixed cost while the ability to raise money against it is impaired, and the company must find other sources to cover it.

The comparison with ordinary preferred shares is instructive. Traditional issuers usually pay lower rates and do not depend on the securities trading at a specific number to keep their funding plans alive. STRC was built differently, and its price has therefore become a signal that the market and the company both monitor closely.

8. Why does the price of a preferred stock matter so much?

A preferred share sits between debt and common equity. It pays a fixed dividend and ranks ahead of common stock for payouts, but it carries no ownership vote in the usual sense. Investors buy it for income, which is why a stated amount such as $100 anchors how it is priced and sold.

For Strategy, that anchor doubles as a sales window. The company can issue new STRC only when the market price supports it, so every move in the quote either opens or closes the door to fresh funding. The buyback program is therefore less about the preferred itself than about keeping that door available for future bitcoin purchases.

A stock trading 25% below its design price also sends a signal to investors weighing the company's other securities, which is a further reason the board has been willing to commit large sums to the effort.

9. What comes next for Strategy and STRC?

The first thing to watch is whether the price reaches $100. If it does, Strategy's policy would allow it to begin selling new STRC again, which would reopen the capital-raising channel that has been shut since May. The company's weekly filings will show whether buybacks continue at the current rate, slow as the price converges, or stop.

The second is the buyback budget. With the authorization on course to be used up in roughly two weeks at last week's pace, another increase from the board is a distinct possibility, as in September. A larger limit would indicate continued commitment to supporting the preferred.

The third is the funding base. The answer depends on whether MSTR shares keep trading at levels that make stock sales a workable source of cash, and on whether the company continues to sell bitcoin to help finance repurchases. Each of those choices affects how much the company can add to its holdings in future weeks.

For now, the numbers show a program that has largely achieved its immediate aim, lifting STRC from a low of $74.57 to $99.90, at a cost of $1.6 billion. What remains uncertain is whether the price can stand without the company's support, and that will be tested as the program approaches its next decision points.

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