Investing•

Strategy Posts $19.53 Billion Profit, Yet MSCI Is Dropping the Bitcoin Holder From Its Flagship Indexes

MSCI will delete Strategy from its USA, World and All Country World indexes after November 30 under new rules for non-operating companies, despite a $19.53 billion quarterly profit.

Written By :MINRK
Strategy Posts $19.53 Billion Profit, Yet MSCI Is Dropping the Bitcoin Holder From Its Flagship Indexes

Photo by Aidan Tottori on Unsplash

Mentioned in This Article

BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
$71,244.00
3.28%

1. MSCI exclusion removes Strategy from three major benchmarks

Index provider MSCI will remove Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), from the MSCI USA Index after the market close on November 30, a decision listed in its November index review. The Strategy MSCI exclusion also takes the stock out of the MSCI World and MSCI All Country World indexes, even though the company reported $19.53 billion in net income for its most recent quarter.

The decision lands at an awkward moment for the company led by executive chairman Michael Saylor. On paper, Strategy has just delivered one of the largest quarterly profits of any listed American company. Yet MSCI, whose benchmarks guide trillions of dollars in passive and active investment, has concluded that the firm no longer fits in indexes designed to represent operating businesses.

The tension between those two facts sits at the center of a debate that has followed Strategy for years: is a company whose balance sheet is dominated by Bitcoin a business in the conventional sense, or is it closer to an investment fund that happens to be listed on a stock exchange?

2. What the deletion does and does not mean

Removal from an index is narrower than it may sound. MSCI is not delisting Strategy from the Nasdaq, where its shares will continue to trade as before. The index provider has no power to close the company, alter its operations or require it to sell any of its Bitcoin holdings.

What changes is the stock's presence on the lists that many funds rely on to decide what they own. MSCI's benchmarks act as a blueprint for portfolio construction across the industry. When a company is in an index, funds that replicate that index buy it more or less automatically. When it is taken out, the same funds generally have to sell.

That mechanical relationship is why index decisions matter. An exchange-traded fund that tracks the MSCI USA Index is built to mirror the index, not to express its manager's views on individual companies. Once Strategy leaves the benchmark, such a fund will typically dispose of its MSTR shares regardless of whether the portfolio manager sees the company favorably.

For investors who have used Strategy as an indirect route into Bitcoin through broad equity funds, the change narrows that path. Holders of a plain MSCI World tracker, for instance, will no longer carry a slice of the company inside their fund once the deletion takes effect.

3. Why is MSCI removing Strategy from its indexes?

MSCI is removing Strategy because of rules it adopted in October covering what it calls non-operating companies. The framework is meant to keep investment vehicles, meaning firms whose main activity is holding financial assets, out of indexes intended to track companies that run operating businesses.

To sort companies into one camp or the other, MSCI screens them on their operating assets and on a range of other financial measures. The logic is familiar from how index providers have long treated closed-end funds and similar structures: a company that mostly holds a portfolio of assets behaves differently from one that sells goods or services, and mixing the two can distort what a benchmark is supposed to measure.

The deletion list itself does not say which of MSCI's tests Strategy failed. The index provider published the outcome, the removal of the shares listed as STRATEGY A, without spelling out how the company scored against each criterion.

Strategy's position is that its activities add up to a genuine operating business. The company points to its work raising capital, managing its Bitcoin treasury and issuing financial products, and argues that together these functions are more than the passive holding of an asset.

4. Strategy called the rules discriminatory and arbitrary

The company made its objections known well before the November review. In a letter sent to MSCI in August, Strategy described the proposal as "discriminatory, arbitrary, and misguided." It also argued that an index provider's role is to reflect the market as it is, rather than to pass judgment on which kinds of companies deserve a place in it.

That argument has some weight in index design, where providers generally aim to be neutral representations of the investable universe. Critics of the new rules see them as a value judgment about Bitcoin-focused business models. Supporters see them as housekeeping that keeps benchmarks faithful to their stated purpose.

Strategy does still operate a software business, the enterprise analytics operation on which the company was originally built before it began accumulating Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency now dominates its financial statements to such a degree that the software unit is a small part of the overall picture.

The dispute therefore comes down to a question of definition. If raising money and buying Bitcoin with it counts as running a company, Strategy is an operating business. If it is better understood as managing an investment portfolio, the company looks more like the kind of vehicle MSCI's rules were written to exclude.

5. Where the $19.53 billion profit came from

The headline profit figure does not reflect income earned from customers. Strategy's $19.53 billion in net income for the quarter was not generated by sales of software or services anywhere near that scale.

Almost all of the company's $20.91 billion in reported operating income came from increases in the accounting value of the Bitcoin it holds. Under accounting rules that took effect in 2025, changes in Bitcoin's market price flow through a company's earnings each period, even if the coins are never sold.

That treatment, known as fair value accounting, replaced an older approach under which companies could only record impairments when the price of a digital asset fell, but could not book gains when it rose. The newer method gives a more current picture of what a Bitcoin treasury is worth, but it also makes reported earnings swing with the market.

The effect cuts both ways. A quarter in which Bitcoin climbs can produce an enormous profit, as it did for Strategy. A quarter in which the price falls can produce an equally large loss, without the company having changed anything about how it operates. For index providers trying to judge whether a firm is primarily an operating business, earnings driven by asset revaluation offer little evidence either way.

6. How Strategy's software business has fared

The software division tells a far more modest story. It recorded $125.4 million in revenue for the quarter, a decline of 3% from the same period a year earlier.

Over a longer horizon, the business has been roughly flat. Strategy reported $477.2 million in software revenue for the full year 2025, slightly below the $486.3 million it reported for 2019, the year before the company started buying Bitcoin.

Those figures help explain why MSCI's screens, which look at operating assets and financial measures, could place Strategy among non-operating companies. The software operation has not grown in step with the company's market value, which today is driven overwhelmingly by its Bitcoin holdings and by investor expectations about its future purchases.

7. How much MSTR stock could index funds sell?

Strategy estimates that funds linked to MSCI indexes hold about 13 million of its shares, equal to roughly 3.1% of its common stock outstanding. That is the pool of stock most directly exposed to selling once the deletion takes effect after November 30.

Not all of those shares will necessarily be sold. Some funds that reference MSCI benchmarks have flexibility in how closely they follow them, and some holders may own the stock for reasons unrelated to the index. Strategy has said the volume involved is manageable.

The more immediate pressure is therefore on Strategy's share price rather than on Bitcoin itself. An index deletion does not require anyone to sell the cryptocurrency, and Strategy's Bitcoin holdings remain untouched by MSCI's decision. The risk is concentrated in the equity, where forced selling by passive funds can weigh on the price around the date a change takes effect.

8. Why a weaker share price matters for Bitcoin purchases

The link between Strategy's stock and its Bitcoin buying is what gives the index decision wider significance for the crypto market. The company has repeatedly financed its purchases by selling shares and other securities, then using the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin.

That model depends on the price at which the company can issue new stock. When MSTR trades higher, each new share brings in more cash, allowing Strategy to buy more Bitcoin for a given amount of dilution. When the share price falls, each share raises less money.

In practice, that leaves the company with two broad options if its stock weakens. It can issue a larger number of shares to raise the same sum, increasing dilution for existing shareholders, or it can raise less money and therefore buy less Bitcoin.

Strategy is one of the largest corporate buyers of Bitcoin, so any slowdown in its purchases would remove a notable source of demand. That is the channel through which a decision about stock indexes could eventually reach the cryptocurrency market itself.

9. What comes next for Strategy after November 30

The deletion becomes effective after the close of trading on November 30, the point at which funds tracking the MSCI USA, MSCI World and MSCI All Country World indexes will be expected to have adjusted their holdings.

The exclusion neither forces Strategy to sell Bitcoin nor guarantees that its purchases will slow. What it does is put pressure on one of the main funding channels used by one of Bitcoin's biggest corporate buyers. How the stock trades around the effective date, and whether Strategy keeps raising capital at its recent pace, will show whether that pressure turns into a lasting change for the company and for the market it has come to influence.

Related Articles

NEWSLETTERS

Don't miss another story.

Subscribe to the MINRK Newsletter today.

Tick the newsletters you want. No selection? You'll get MINRK Headlines.

By signing up, you will receive emails about MINRK products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy.

MINRK Daybook

Market analysis for crypto traders and investors.

EVERY WEEKDAY

MINRK for Advisors

Defining crypto, digital assets and the future of finance for financial advisors.

EVERY THURSDAY

MINRK Protocol

Exploring the tech behind crypto one block at a time.

WEEKLY

MINRK Long & Short

A must read for institutions. Insights, news and analysis delivered weekly.

EVERY WEDNESDAY

MINRK Headlines

The biggest crypto news and ideas of the day.

EVERY WEEKDAY

MINRK Policy

Examining the intersection of cryptocurrency and government.

WEEKLY

MINRK Research

Join thousands of readers who rely on MINRK for data-driven insights on the latest digital asset trends.

MONTHLY