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Bitcoin Price Recovers to $78,600 as Traders Look Past the Binance Theft

Bitcoin gained about 1% to roughly $78,600 for a third straight daily rise as stock futures rebounded and oil fell, with U.S. midterm elections due Tuesday.

Written By :MINRK
Bitcoin Price Recovers to $78,600 as Traders Look Past the Binance Theft

Image by Belle Femme Emmo via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Mentioned in This Article

BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
$78,037.00
0.31%
ETH
ETH
Ethereum
$2,281.28
0.67%
BNB
BNB
BNB
$707.52
0.48%
XRP
XRP
XRP
$1.25
0.09%
TRX
TRX
TRON
$0.32
1.60%
SOL
SOL
Solana
$94.30
1.13%
ZEC
ZEC
Zcash
$1,266.41
1.91%

1. What is driving the Bitcoin price on Monday?

The Bitcoin price rose about 1% to roughly $78,600 during Asian trading hours on Monday, November 2, marking a third consecutive daily gain. Buyers returned as Asian and U.S. stock futures rebounded from Friday's technology sell-off, and crypto steadied after Binance disclosed a $6.3 billion theft, the largest from an exchange on record.

The move was modest, but it came after a shaky weekend. Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to about $77,600 late on Sunday before buyers pushed it back above $78,500 within hours. That quick recovery suggested that the shock from the Binance breach, which had pulled prices lower earlier in the week, was fading from trading screens.

Traders are now looking at two things: whether technology shares keep recovering and what the U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday mean for policy. Both have a direct line to digital assets, which have tended to move with risk appetite in equities rather than independently of it.

2. How did the major tokens trade?

Zcash (ZEC) led the largest tokens with a gain of about 3%, to nearly $1,280. Ether (ETH) climbed nearly 2% to just above $2,300, and BNB rose nearly 2% to about $713. XRP and Tron's TRX each added about 1%, while Solana (SOL) barely moved and stayed near $95. The figures come from CoinDesk market data.

The pattern was a broad but shallow rebound. No major token reversed sharply in either direction, and the gains clustered in the low single digits. That is consistent with a market that is stabilizing after a shock rather than starting a new trend.

Zcash's outperformance stood out against that quiet backdrop, since it sits at the top of the group while Bitcoin and most large tokens posted smaller moves. The source of the strength was not explained in the data available.

3. How is the stock market sell-off feeding into crypto?

The rebound in equities matters because Friday's session was harsh. The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.5% on Friday, its worst day since June, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which tracks U.S.-listed chipmakers, dropped 7%. A sell-off of that size in technology stocks often drags speculative assets down with it, because investors cut risk across the board.

On Monday the picture improved. Futures on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 each rose at least 0.4%, pointing to a calmer open in the United States. Stock benchmarks also rose in South Korea, Hong Kong and Japan, so the recovery was visible across Asia as well.

Chinese shares advanced after a report that regulators would meet banks and brokerages on Monday to discuss support for the market. Expectations of official backing tend to calm sentiment, and that helped the regional mood in which crypto traded.

4. Why did oil and gold move?

Brent crude fell 3% to about $110 a barrel after a report that President Donald Trump wants diplomacy with Iran to continue before any renewed strikes, which could come after Tuesday's midterm elections. Lower oil prices ease inflation concerns, and that in turn can reduce pressure on central banks to keep rates high.

Gold rose about 1% to roughly $3,910 an ounce, recovering from its lowest close in more than a year on Friday. The metal's bounce, together with the stock rebound, indicates that investors were stepping back into several asset classes at once after a rough end to the previous week.

Even after the drop, a Brent price near $110 is high by recent standards, which helps explain why inflation and interest rates remain at the center of market discussion.

5. What do analysts say about interest rates?

Jeff Mei, chief operating officer of the crypto exchange BTSE, told CoinDesk by email that comments from the Federal Reserve last week point to persistent macroeconomic pressure. He said he expects high interest rates to reduce liquidity for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies over the coming months, in his words because "macro pressures will continue to keep interest rates high."

Liquidity matters for crypto because the market relies on a steady flow of new capital. When borrowing costs are high, safer assets that pay interest become more attractive, and speculative buyers have less leverage to put to work.

Mei added that investors will watch whether technology stocks rebound or keep falling. In his view, "a small rebound may indicate that we've already hit the bottom," which could offer a buying opportunity. He noted that Bitcoin was trading below $80,000 at the time.

6. What are the midterm elections and the CLARITY Act?

The CLARITY Act is the bill that would set U.S. rules for crypto markets, including which federal agency oversees which tokens. Its fate depends in part on the balance of power in Congress, which is why the midterm vote is being treated as a market event as well as a political one.

U.S. polls close on Tuesday night, so results will begin to arrive during Wednesday's Asian trading hours. That timing means the first market reaction could appear in Asia before U.S. traders weigh in.

Mei said the midterms are likely to have a major impact on markets. He noted that Democrats oppose the CLARITY Act. He also argued that a Democratic majority in Congress could bring an earlier end to the conflict with Iran, which would lower oil prices and inflation pressure and could lift stocks and crypto.

7. What should traders watch next?

The immediate calendar is short. Tuesday's election is the main scheduled event, with early results arriving on Wednesday in Asia. Between now and then, the direction of technology shares will likely set the tone, since Friday's chip-sector plunge was the shock that unsettled risk assets in the first place.

For Bitcoin, the $80,000 level is the reference point Mei mentioned, and the price remained just below it. A sustained move above would signal that the recovery has legs, while a slip back toward the late-Sunday low near $77,600 would show that buyers are still cautious.

Beyond the election, traders will be tracking any further Federal Reserve commentary, developments in the Iran diplomacy that has been moving oil, and any new details on the Binance breach, which has shaped sentiment all week.

8. Why have the Binance theft's effects faded so quickly?

The $6.3 billion theft was the largest ever taken from a crypto exchange, and it pushed prices lower when it was disclosed. By Monday, however, Bitcoin had gained for three straight sessions, and the price was within a percent or two of where it stood before the Sunday dip.

That resilience does not erase the risk. A hack of that size raises questions about exchange security and the concentration of assets on a few platforms. For now, though, macro factors, from equity volatility and oil to interest rates and the election, are doing more to move prices than the breach itself.

The takeaway from Monday's session is that crypto remains tightly linked to the broader market. A modest 1% advance in Bitcoin, a wide recovery in Asian equities and a drop in oil all point to a market trying to find its footing before a consequential political event.

9. Why does crypto trade alongside technology stocks?

Over the past several years, Bitcoin and large tokens have often moved in the same direction as growth-oriented shares, particularly during sharp swings. Both groups are sensitive to the cost of money and to the willingness of investors to hold assets whose value rests on future expectations rather than current income.

When a heavy sell-off hits chipmakers and other technology companies, portfolio managers frequently reduce exposure to everything that carries similar risk. Crypto, which trades around the clock, can feel that pressure first, since it keeps operating while stock exchanges are closed. That helps explain why the weekend dip toward $77,600 coincided with the aftermath of Friday's equity losses.

The relationship is not fixed, and there are periods when crypto prices diverge. Still, Monday's pattern, in which Bitcoin rose as Asian equities and U.S. futures recovered, fit the familiar link between the two.

A bottom is the point at which selling pressure is exhausted and prices stop falling. It is usually clear only in hindsight, but analysts look for signs such as steadier prices after a drop, smaller daily swings and buyers stepping in at lower levels.

Mei's comment about a small rebound in technology stocks follows that logic. If shares recover modestly instead of resuming their slide, it can signal that the worst of the selling has passed, and investors may gain confidence to buy riskier assets again, including cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin's three consecutive daily gains and its quick recovery from the Sunday low are consistent with that kind of stabilization, though a three-day run is too short to confirm a turning point. Higher interest rates and the election outcome could still change the direction quickly.

10. What does the oil price have to do with Bitcoin?

Oil prices feed into inflation, and inflation shapes what central banks do with interest rates. When crude oil falls, price pressures tend to ease, which can give policymakers more room to hold rates steady or lower them. Lower rates generally support risk assets, and Bitcoin has often responded to that shift.

The reverse also applies. A spike in oil keeps inflation elevated, lengthens the period of tight monetary policy and drains liquidity from speculative markets. That is the mechanism behind Mei's argument that an earlier end to the Iran conflict would lower oil and inflation pressure and could support stocks and crypto.

On Monday, Brent's 3% decline to about $110 a barrel was a small step in that direction, but the price remained high. Traders will want to see whether the diplomacy reported in the market holds before treating the move as lasting.

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